DAY 3 - April 19th - Monday - J. NOAH (41)

JOAKIM NOAH

Alternative picks: Derrick Rose, Luol Deng, Carlos Boozer

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2/2. Yesterday was a great day for us. Let's remember that the main goal in the first round is to arrive the next round without having picked any player who has advanced, while picking all the meaningful players of the teams that don't pass, in over-par perfomances . There were 6 players who had more PRA than Westbrook yesterday:
Nelson, his team will pass 2nd round
Duncan & Ginobili, their team could pass the 2nd round
Nowitzky, his team could pass the 2nd round
Miller, his team could pass the 2nd round
So those 5 picks were bad. I don't buy 1-9 points for all that heavy risk this early. Not even close.
The only player that could be discussed as better for yesterday, G. Wallace, turns a bad pick after looking at the schedule. Which 2 days will they use for picking Westbrook & Durant? 20 and? They will have problems with the tied series while we won't.
And let's speak about our folk, Westbrook. That was great! 35 PRA. And the best new wasn't that, it was that we didn't buy Durant's sub-par performance. We are doing things well, and we are being lucky too.
We are 84%, just -15 from leaders while picking the right players, is an amazing start!

It's time for today's pick:

Don't forget taking a look at timetable & players:
Today's pick it's quite easy. We won't enter yet the DEN-UTA series.
(If you are sure that Denver will win, pick Boozer before he gets hurt, and expect good performance from him)
So we have to pick a player from:
Chicago Bulls

Let's remember that their pickable players are:
Rose, Noah, Deng

We already picked Rose, so we won't pick him. If you hadn't picked him, pick him now. Probably you won't have days for another Bull, and he is the player who will probably give you the most PRA.

But we have to chose between Noah and Deng.

If you take a look at DAY 1 pick, you'll see why is better Noah than Deng
difference between home and away:
Noah: +1.2 Away
Deng: -2.3 Away

And also notice how Noah's averages for the season are lower than his real performance because he has dealed with a platar fasciitis for months. But now he is healthy. And healthy his averages rise from 24 PRA to 30 PRA.
Also, his performance in Game 1 was overall bad. He even was forced to hack-a-shaq because he wasn't able to stop the big fella. He will be really hurted in his honour. He will want to do it well in front of that same crowd that laughed at him. He is really hungry (has speaked really bad about Garnett dirtiness), and just wants to go there and explode.

I'm sure he will give 120%. And expect the Cavs doing 2 on 1 on Rose after his last performance. The best pick for tomorrow is clearly him. Expect at least 25-30 PRA from him. Give us love!

JOAKIM NOAH

Alternative picks: Derrick Rose, Luol Deng, Carlos Boozer