Wednesday, April 21, 2010

DAY 5 - April 21th - Wed'day - S. JACKSON (33)

STEPHEN JACKSON


Alternative picks:
Gerald Wallace, Manu Ginobili, Tim Duncan

*Now you can post comments without being blogger member*

Yestarday I was really scared when the game began. It could have been an easy blowout. Or a Jennings' shootaround... But in the end Salmons posted 28 PRA. Everything went as expected.
Jennings had an off night with Joe Johnson locked at him everynight. And Salmons managed to get those points in garbage minutes so everything went OK. I asked for 25-30 and we got 28 so it ended well.
There were more good notices in the other players results:
Lakers: Bryant & Gasol
Atlanta: Josh Smith, Joe Johnson, Al Horford
They had more PRA but their teams will advance.
Wade, Richardson, Nash, Allen, Davis posted more PRA but their series are not still clear, and their result was quite similar to Salmons'
About Durant... we'll pick him in a better day, trust me ;)
Also, take notice that Salmons' average is 21, and we got 28 so is +7. A positive result once more.
We're in the right way, and in 3 days we'll be in a greater situation 'cause we'll pick some superstars :)
This is running much more better than expected. Playing for the final win, in the first week the usual percentile is 50-60. Never 84. We have made the right calls, but we'll be unlicky anyday. Maybe today... :S

Beacuse...it's time for today's pick:
Don't forget taking a look at timetable & players:
As you could expect after 4 picks, we won't enter the DAL-SAS series yet.
So we have 1 team to pick from:
Charlotte Bobcats

Let's remember that their pickable players are:
Gerald Wallace
Stephen Jackson

We should have in mind that those 2 players should be picked this round. So let's see when.
Taking a look at the we can see how 24th and 26th the Bobcats play just with the POR-PHO series (we won't pick more Thunder or Buck). So any of those days we'll probably pick the other Bobcat.

Who pick now (away) and who that day (home)?
They have a very similar PRA average over the February 1st - March 31th period. 29 to 28 for Jackson.
So we have to take into consideration two things:

1. Away differential:
G. Wallace: -2.2 Away (he is better home)
S. Jackson: +2.6 Away (he is better away)

2. Stephen Jackson is injuried.
He has a small injury in the knee. Was hold out of the game in the last minutes of the game. He was angry for that because he wanted to play. He say he won't wear any brace around the knee. He will start today.

If the point 2 hadn't exist Jackson would have been the easy pick.
Now you have to decide what is the best pick.
We can have a Magic team around Wallace and Jackson, angry, excelling.
And we can also have Jackson DNP.

I'm going with Jackson. But today it's very important to stay tunned in the 30 minutes before the game for any new about the injury/status of Jackson. Remember that you can change your pick until 5 minutes before the tipoff. (be careful, you don't want the system closing when your are changing your player)
Also consider that Jackson can put 35 PRA and get injuried in the last minute. That, sorry Captain Jack, would be great for us.

This is not a matter of risks, is a matter of results. And I think that Jackson will post more PRA than Wallace tonight.

The right choice is this, but there is a risk, and I'll buy that risk 'cause I think that the results will be nice.

Let's cross our fingers. S-Jax, give us a b(p)unch of points and we'll give you our love!
*I'm feeling like Tiger, giving love to everyone* :P

STEPHEN JACKSON


Alternative picks:
Gerald Wallace, Manu Ginobili, Tim Duncan

4 comments:

  1. Rolling with Captain Jack as well :) Don't worry with his injury. He will play!

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  2. Hey julen.we should have picked durant yesterday!
    anyway. lets see todays pick!

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  3. I prefer picking Durant at home and adding 28 by Salmons.
    Than getting 41 from Durant and having to pick Jennings/Salmons another day.
    By far :)

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  4. First of all very good work with your Blog here Julen. Kudos to you for sharing your knowledge and stat analysis with a bunch of unknown people.

    With 33 PRA S-Jax was ja very nice pick especially when you compare his performance with the other pickable bobcat G. Wallace.

    Keep up the good work Julen!

    Greetings from Germany
    Fuffie

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